📊 Game Odds

How odds work: Bet up to 50 pts per game. Favorite always = 1.0× (win back your wager). Pick the underdog and win big. Lose = lose your wager. Draw has its own multiplier capped 1.5×–8×.

Example: Bet 20 pts on Haiti (50×) vs Brazil — Haiti wins → +1000 pts. Brazil wins → -20 pts.

📐 How multipliers are calculated

Step 1 — Convert championship odds to probability:
impliedProb = 100 / (odds + 100)
France +375 → 100/475 = 21.1%  |  Brazil +1200 → 100/1300 = 7.7%  |  Haiti +100000 → 100/100100 = 0.1%

Step 2 — Normalize so the favorite = 1.0×:
multiplier = favoriteProbability / teamProbability

Step 3 — Draw scales with mismatch: the bigger the gap between teams, the less likely a draw, so higher multiplier.
drawProb = max(8%, 30% - 2.5% × log(strongerProb / weakerProb))
Even teams → draw ~30% → ~2.0×  |  Big gap → draw ~10% → ~6×  |  Capped 1.5×–8×

Real examples:

Game	Calculation	Fav	Draw	Underdog
Brazil vs Haiti	Brazil 7.7% vs Haiti 0.1% ratio = 7.7/0.1 = 77 → draw prob = max(8%, 30% - 2.5%×ln(77)) = 8%	Brazil 1.0× bet 10→10pts	Draw ~6.5× bet 10→65pts	Haiti 50× 🔥 bet 10→500pts
Scotland vs Morocco	Morocco 2.4% vs Scotland 0.5% ratio = 2.4/0.5 = 4.8 → draw prob = 30% - 2.5%×ln(4.8) = 19%	Morocco 1.0× bet 10→10pts	Draw ~3.8× bet 10→38pts	Scotland 4.9× bet 10→49pts
USA vs Australia	USA 2.4% vs Australia 0.66% ratio = 2.4/0.66 = 3.6 → draw prob = 30% - 2.5%×ln(3.6) = 21%	USA 1.0× bet 10→10pts	Draw ~3.2× bet 10→32pts	Australia 3.7× bet 10→37pts
Turkiye vs Paraguay	Turkiye 0.57% vs Paraguay 0.2% ratio = 0.57/0.2 = 2.9 → draw prob = 30% - 2.5%×ln(2.9) = 22%	Turkiye 1.0× bet 10→10pts	Draw ~3.0× bet 10→30pts	Paraguay 2.8× bet 10→28pts

🏆 FIFA World Cup 2026 Championship Odds